Will Gold be above $4,150 on Nov 6, 21:00 UTC?
47%
chance of Yes · about the same as when the market opened on Nov 2
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
All levels for Gold on Nov 6, 21:00 UTC
Each row is its own market: Yes wins if Gold ends above that level.
- $4,150This+5.1%47%
- $3,960+0.3%47%
- $3,750−5.0%53%
How this market resolves
Yes if Gold is above $4,150
The market settles on Gold's Hyperliquid price at Nov 6, 21:00 UTC. Above $4,150, each Yes share pays $1.
Only the final price counts
Moves before the deadline do not settle the market. Only the price at expiry does.
No if Gold is at or below $4,150
Each No share then pays $1 and each Yes share $0.
- Nov 2Listed
- Nov 2Today
- Fri 21:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:GOLD price is above 4150 at 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 300-second TWAP of 1-minute candle price ending at 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC. If xyz:GOLD is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:GOLD settlement price at delisting. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #23742.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.