Will S&P 500 be above $7,595 on Nov 6, 21:00 UTC?
50%
chance of Yes
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
How this market resolves
Yes if S&P 500 is above $7,595
The market settles on S&P 500's Hyperliquid price at Nov 6, 21:00 UTC. Above $7,595, each Yes share pays $1.
Only the final price counts
Moves before the deadline do not settle the market. Only the price at expiry does.
No if S&P 500 is at or below $7,595
Each No share then pays $1 and each Yes share $0.
- Oct 30Today
- Nov 6, 21:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:SP500 price is above 7595 at 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 90-second TWAP of the Pyth US500 index price price ending at 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC. If xyz:SP500 is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:SP500 settlement price at delisting. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #21245.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.