Will S&P 500 be above $7,845 on Nov 4, 21:00 UTC?
15%
chance of Yes · down from 19% when the market opened on Oct 28
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
All levels for S&P 500 on Nov 4, 21:00 UTC
Each row is its own market: Yes wins if S&P 500 ends above that level.
- $7,845This+1.6%15%
- $7,770+0.7%36%
- $7,695−0.3%56%
How this market resolves
Yes if S&P 500 is above $7,845
The market settles on S&P 500's Hyperliquid price at Nov 4, 21:00 UTC. Above $7,845, each Yes share pays $1.
Only the final price counts
Moves before the deadline do not settle the market. Only the price at expiry does.
No if S&P 500 is at or below $7,845
Each No share then pays $1 and each Yes share $0.
- Oct 28Listed
- Oct 29Today
- Wed 21:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:SP500 price is above 7845 at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 90-second TWAP of the Pyth US500 index price price ending at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC. If xyz:SP500 is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:SP500 settlement price at delisting. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #19537.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.