Will BTC touch $92,500 before Nov 1?
2%
chance of Yes · down from 32% when the market opened on Oct 1
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
All levels for BTC before Nov 1
Each row is its own market. Levels above the current price need BTC to rise, levels below need it to fall.
- $92,500This+15.5%2%
- $90,000+12.3%1%
- $87,500+9.2%1%
- $77,500−3.3%15%
- $75,000−6.4%4%
How this market resolves
Yes if BTC touches $92,500
BTC's mark price on Hyperliquid (3-second average) reaches or crosses $92,500 at any moment before the deadline.
Settles as soon as it touches
The market can settle early. Each Yes share then pays $1 and each No share $0.
No if it never does
If BTC does not reach $92,500 by Nov 1, No wins and each No share pays $1.
- Oct 1Listed
- Oct 29Today
- Sun 00:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 92500 at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 3-second TWAP of BTC-USDC perp mark price equals or crosses 92500 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 92500 by then. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #7175.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.