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CL

Will Crude Oil touch $75 before Nov 1?

Crude Oil now $101.84 · 35.8% above the levelCloses Sun 00:00 UTC · in 3 days$4.05 traded in 24h · 3 tradersOpen

1%

chance of Yes · down from 25% when the market opened on Oct 3

Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.

Each row is its own market. Levels above the current price need Crude Oil to rise, levels below need it to fall.

  1. $10529%
  2. $851%
  3. $801%
  4. $75This1%

How this market resolves

Yes if Crude Oil touches $75

Crude Oil's mark price on Hyperliquid (3-second average) reaches or crosses $75 at any moment before the deadline.

Settles as soon as it touches

The market can settle early. Each Yes share then pays $1 and each No share $0.

No if it never does

If Crude Oil does not reach $75 by Nov 1, No wins and each No share pays $1.

  1. Oct 3Listed
  2. Oct 29Today
  3. Sun 00:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules

The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:CL price touches 75 at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 3-second TWAP of xyz:CL-USDC perp mark price equals or crosses 75 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If xyz:CL is delisted before this market settles, the xyz:CL settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 75 by then. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.

Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #7950.

Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.