Will Crude Oil touch $80 before Nov 1?
1%
chance of Yes · down from 56% when the market opened on Oct 3
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
All levels for Crude Oil before Nov 1
Each row is its own market. Levels above the current price need Crude Oil to rise, levels below need it to fall.
- $105+3.1%29%
- $85−16.5%1%
- $80This−21.4%1%
- $75−26.4%1%
How this market resolves
Yes if Crude Oil touches $80
Crude Oil's mark price on Hyperliquid (3-second average) reaches or crosses $80 at any moment before the deadline.
Settles as soon as it touches
The market can settle early. Each Yes share then pays $1 and each No share $0.
No if it never does
If Crude Oil does not reach $80 by Nov 1, No wins and each No share pays $1.
- Oct 3Listed
- Oct 29Today
- Sun 00:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:CL price touches 80 at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 3-second TWAP of xyz:CL-USDC perp mark price equals or crosses 80 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If xyz:CL is delisted before this market settles, the xyz:CL settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 80 by then. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #7949.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.