Will XYZ Index be above $29,890 on Nov 4, 21:00 UTC?
30%
chance of Yes · down from 32% when the market opened on Oct 28
Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.
All levels for XYZ Index on Nov 4, 21:00 UTC
Each row is its own market: Yes wins if XYZ Index ends above that level.
- $30,415+3.3%10%
- $29,890This+1.5%29%
- $29,365−0.2%53%
How this market resolves
Yes if XYZ Index is above $29,890
The market settles on XYZ Index's Hyperliquid price at Nov 4, 21:00 UTC. Above $29,890, each Yes share pays $1.
Only the final price counts
Moves before the deadline do not settle the market. Only the price at expiry does.
No if XYZ Index is at or below $29,890
Each No share then pays $1 and each Yes share $0.
- Oct 28Listed
- Oct 29Today
- Wed 21:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:XYZ100 price is above 29890 at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 90-second TWAP of the Pyth US100 index price price ending at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC. If xyz:XYZ100 is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:XYZ100 settlement price at delisting. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.
Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #19532.
Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.