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XYZ100

Will XYZ Index be above $30,415 on Nov 4, 21:00 UTC?

XYZ Index now $29,438 · 3.2% below the levelCloses Wed 21:00 UTC · in 7 days$0.3 traded in 24h · 3 tradersOpen

11%

chance of Yes · down from 13% when the market opened on Oct 28

Yes mid price on Hyperliquid. Not a forecast by Perpex.

Each row is its own market: Yes wins if XYZ Index ends above that level.

  1. $30,415This10%
  2. $29,89029%
  3. $29,36553%

How this market resolves

Yes if XYZ Index is above $30,415

The market settles on XYZ Index's Hyperliquid price at Nov 4, 21:00 UTC. Above $30,415, each Yes share pays $1.

Only the final price counts

Moves before the deadline do not settle the market. Only the price at expiry does.

No if XYZ Index is at or below $30,415

Each No share then pays $1 and each Yes share $0.

  1. Oct 28Listed
  2. Oct 29Today
  3. Wed 21:00 UTCDeadline
Full rules

The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:XYZ100 price is above 30415 at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 90-second TWAP of the Pyth US100 index price price ending at 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC. If xyz:XYZ100 is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:XYZ100 settlement price at delisting. metadata=category:price|subCategory:N/A|semanticRestriction:This market must refer to the price of a Hyperliquid perp.

Source: Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome #19533.

Prediction markets carry the risk of losing the full amount spent on shares. Prices are probabilities set by traders, not forecasts by Perpex. Markets are created and settled on Hyperliquid; Perpex does not run or resolve them.